Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case

Recent controversies in the literature on the electoral effects of cash transfer programs reveal the limitations of traditional models associating public policies to voting. Why would beneficiaries reward parties for programmatic policies when the government has no control over the distribution of t...

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Autor principal: Simoni Jr., Sérgio
Outros Autores: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: English
Publicado em: 2022
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spelling oai:bdjur.stj.jus.br.col_bdtse_4134:oai:localhost:bdtse-110972024-10-14 Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case Simoni Jr., Sérgio Tribunal Superior Eleitoral Eleições Voto Programa Bolsa Família (Brasil) Políticas públicas Recent controversies in the literature on the electoral effects of cash transfer programs reveal the limitations of traditional models associating public policies to voting. Why would beneficiaries reward parties for programmatic policies when the government has no control over the distribution of the benefits? Are they guided by short-term retrospective voting in favor of the incumbent without forming durable links? By studying the Brazilian case, based on the Bolsa Escola-Program, formulated by the PSDB, and the Bolsa-Família Program, formulated by the PT, I test different theories and propose an alternative approach. My thesis is that the long-term electoral effect of programmatic policies is a consequence of credit-claiming efforts made by the competing parties, resulting in reciprocity from voters. My argument is built on the examination of parliamentary deliberations throughout the formulation of these programs and on the analysis of public opinion surveys conducted in 2005, a transitional moment when there were beneficiaries of both programs, and in 2018, the year of the first presidential election with the Bolsa-Família Program being implemented with the PT as an opposition party. The data show that party leaders came to the defense of these social programs to varying degrees and in different moments of their terms in office and that these different mobilization strategies reflected on voting behavior. 2022-12-12T19:42:14Z 2022-12-12T19:42:14Z 2022 Artigo SIMONI JR., Sérgio. Electoral dividends from programmatic policies: a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case. Brazilian Political Science Review, São Paulo, v. 16, n. 2, p. 1-42, 2022. DOI: http://doi.org/10.1590/1981-3821202200010005. http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/11097 en <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR"><img alt="Licença Creative Commons" style="border-width:0" src="https://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-sa/4.0/88x31.png" /></a><br />Este item está licenciado com uma Licença <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR">Creative Commons Atribuição-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional</a>. 42 p.
institution TSE
collection TSE
language English
topic Eleições
Voto
Programa Bolsa Família (Brasil)
Políticas públicas
spellingShingle Eleições
Voto
Programa Bolsa Família (Brasil)
Políticas públicas
Simoni Jr., Sérgio
Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
description Recent controversies in the literature on the electoral effects of cash transfer programs reveal the limitations of traditional models associating public policies to voting. Why would beneficiaries reward parties for programmatic policies when the government has no control over the distribution of the benefits? Are they guided by short-term retrospective voting in favor of the incumbent without forming durable links? By studying the Brazilian case, based on the Bolsa Escola-Program, formulated by the PSDB, and the Bolsa-Família Program, formulated by the PT, I test different theories and propose an alternative approach. My thesis is that the long-term electoral effect of programmatic policies is a consequence of credit-claiming efforts made by the competing parties, resulting in reciprocity from voters. My argument is built on the examination of parliamentary deliberations throughout the formulation of these programs and on the analysis of public opinion surveys conducted in 2005, a transitional moment when there were beneficiaries of both programs, and in 2018, the year of the first presidential election with the Bolsa-Família Program being implemented with the PT as an opposition party. The data show that party leaders came to the defense of these social programs to varying degrees and in different moments of their terms in office and that these different mobilization strategies reflected on voting behavior.
author2 Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
format Artigo
author Simoni Jr., Sérgio
title Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
title_short Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
title_full Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
title_fullStr Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
title_full_unstemmed Electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the Brazilian case
title_sort electoral dividends from programmatic policies : a theoretical proposal based on the brazilian case
publishDate 2022
url http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/11097
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score 12,572395