Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data

The article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a pos...

ver mais

Autor principal: Carreirão, Yan de Souza
Outros Autores: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: English
Publicado em: 2018
Assuntos:
Eleições
Presidente da República
Voto
Eleitor
Comportamento eleitoral
Brasil
Obter o texto integral:
id oai:bdjur.stj.jus.br.col_bdtse_4134:oai:localhost:bdtse-4395
recordtype tse
spelling oai:bdjur.stj.jus.br.col_bdtse_4134:oai:localhost:bdtse-43952024-10-14 Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data Carreirão, Yan de Souza Tribunal Superior Eleitoral Eleições Presidente da República Voto Eleitor Comportamento eleitoral Brasil The article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a post-electoral survey conducted on a national sample of voters. In the models, taken as a whole, political opinions did not have much weight in the voting decision. Furthermore, they are unable to explain a very large share of voters positioning on a left-right scale or on a scale of voters party sentiments. All these political variables taken as a whole, in turn, explain only part of the evaluations that voters make of the governments performance. The analysis shows that Brazilian voters voting decision seems rather varied, since some variables were shown to be relevant to explain the vote for a candidate, but not for the others. The variables shown to be more frequent (for all four candidates analysed) and with more considerable weight were: voters religion, their party sentiments, their positioning on a left-right scale, the evaluations made of the then current government (in actual fact important only for the vote for Serra, the governments candidate) and the candidates attributes (especially reliability and preparedness/competence). 2018-04-06T21:39:17Z 2018-04-06T21:39:17Z 2007 Artigo CARREIRÃO, Yan de Souza. Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data. Brazilian Political Science Review, São Paulo, v. 1, n. 1, p. 70-101, 2007. http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4395 en <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR"><img alt="Licença Creative Commons" style="border-width:0" src="https://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-sa/4.0/88x31.png" /></a><br />Este item está licenciado com uma Licença <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR">Creative Commons Atribuição-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional</a>. 32 p.
institution TSE
collection TSE
language English
topic Eleições
Presidente da República
Voto
Eleitor
Comportamento eleitoral
Brasil
spellingShingle Eleições
Presidente da República
Voto
Eleitor
Comportamento eleitoral
Brasil
Carreirão, Yan de Souza
Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
description The article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a post-electoral survey conducted on a national sample of voters. In the models, taken as a whole, political opinions did not have much weight in the voting decision. Furthermore, they are unable to explain a very large share of voters positioning on a left-right scale or on a scale of voters party sentiments. All these political variables taken as a whole, in turn, explain only part of the evaluations that voters make of the governments performance. The analysis shows that Brazilian voters voting decision seems rather varied, since some variables were shown to be relevant to explain the vote for a candidate, but not for the others. The variables shown to be more frequent (for all four candidates analysed) and with more considerable weight were: voters religion, their party sentiments, their positioning on a left-right scale, the evaluations made of the then current government (in actual fact important only for the vote for Serra, the governments candidate) and the candidates attributes (especially reliability and preparedness/competence).
author2 Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
format Artigo
author Carreirão, Yan de Souza
title Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
title_short Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
title_full Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
title_fullStr Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
title_full_unstemmed Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data
title_sort relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the eseb (brazilian electoral study) data
publishDate 2018
url http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4395
_version_ 1812917399120248832
score 12,587216

Documentos relacionados