The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014)
This research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral da...
| Autor principal: | Zucco Júnior, Cesar |
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| Outros Autores: | Tribunal Superior Eleitoral |
| Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | English |
| Publicado em: |
2018
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oai:bdjur.stj.jus.br.teste5:oai:localhost:bdtse-42562020-06-02 The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) Zucco Júnior, Cesar Tribunal Superior Eleitoral Eleição Presidente da República Município Brasil Assistência Social Bolsa família Governo federal This research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral data and applies different matching techniques to attempt to ensure that only similar individuals and municipalities are compared to each other. The note shows that although the strictly defined electoral effect of Bolsa Família at the municipality level has remained quite similar to what was found in the past elections, there seems to have been a sharp increase in the aggregate effects, observed at the municipality level. I conjecture that the increased polarization among non-beneficiaries is the possible cause of the changes observed in the last election and suggest that examining the indirect electoral effect of Bolsa Família over non-beneficiaries is a promising avenue for future research. 2018-02-02T22:15:10Z 2018-02-02T22:15:10Z 2015 Artigo ZUCCO Júnior, Cesar. The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014). Brazilian Political Science Review, São Paulo, v. 9, n. 1, p. 135-149, 2015. http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4256 en <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR"><img alt="Licença Creative Commons" style="border-width:0" src="https://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-sa/4.0/88x31.png" /></a><br />Este item está licenciado com uma Licença <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR">Creative Commons Atribuição-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional</a>. 15 p. |
| institution |
TSE |
| collection |
TSE |
| language |
English |
| topic |
Eleição Presidente da República Município Brasil Assistência Social Bolsa família Governo federal |
| spellingShingle |
Eleição Presidente da República Município Brasil Assistência Social Bolsa família Governo federal Zucco Júnior, Cesar The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| description |
This research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral data and applies different matching techniques to attempt to ensure that only similar individuals and municipalities are compared to each other. The note shows that although the strictly defined electoral effect of Bolsa Família at the municipality level has remained quite similar to what was found in the past elections, there seems to have been a sharp increase in the aggregate effects, observed at the municipality level. I conjecture that the increased polarization among non-beneficiaries is the possible cause of the changes observed in the last election and suggest that examining the indirect electoral effect of Bolsa Família over non-beneficiaries is a promising avenue for future research. |
| author2 |
Tribunal Superior Eleitoral |
| format |
Artigo |
| author |
Zucco Júnior, Cesar |
| title |
The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| title_short |
The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| title_full |
The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| title_fullStr |
The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| title_sort |
impacts of conditional cash transfers in four presidential elections (2002-2014) |
| publishDate |
2018 |
| url |
http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4256 |
| _version_ |
1806195490212020224 |
| score |
12,587216 |