Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima

Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents electoral support among the poor. This res...

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Autor principal: Corrêa, Diego Sanches
Outros Autores: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: English
Publicado em: 2018
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spelling oai:bdjur.stj.jus.br.teste5:oai:localhost:bdtse-42592020-06-02 Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima Corrêa, Diego Sanches Tribunal Superior Eleitoral Programa assistencial Baixa renda Eleições Brasil Presidente da República Eleição Bolsa família São Paulo (SP) Renda mínima Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents electoral support among the poor. This research note is the first scholarly attempt to investigate this phenomenon at a lower-level unit of a federal state, by assessing the impact of a municipal cash transfer program on a mayoral election. Specifically, it investigates whether Renda Mínima, the cash transfer program of the city of Sao Paulo, affected beneficiaries' electoral behavior in favor of the incumbent candidate in the 2004 mayoral election. This note analyzes survey data from CEBRAP/IBOPE and shows that cash transfers did, indeed, affect beneficiaries behavior in the predicted direction, but only in cases where they did not benefit from any other CCT program, such as the federal Bolsa Família or the São Paulo state Renda Cidadã. These results suggest that the pro-incumbent effect of CCT programs may be diluted by similar programs launched by governments at other tiers of a federation, even if they are led by the same party. 2018-02-07T16:45:04Z 2018-02-07T16:45:04Z 2015 Artigo CORRÊA, Diego Sanches. Cash transfers and mayoral elections: the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima. Brazilian Political Science Review, São Paulo, v. 9, n. 2, p. 109-120, 2015. http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4259 en <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR"><img alt="Licença Creative Commons" style="border-width:0" src="https://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-sa/4.0/88x31.png" /></a><br />Este item está licenciado com uma Licença <a rel="license" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.pt_BR">Creative Commons Atribuição-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional</a>. 12 p.
institution TSE
collection TSE
language English
topic Programa assistencial
Baixa renda
Eleições
Brasil
Presidente da República
Eleição
Bolsa família
São Paulo (SP)
Renda mínima
spellingShingle Programa assistencial
Baixa renda
Eleições
Brasil
Presidente da República
Eleição
Bolsa família
São Paulo (SP)
Renda mínima
Corrêa, Diego Sanches
Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
description Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents electoral support among the poor. This research note is the first scholarly attempt to investigate this phenomenon at a lower-level unit of a federal state, by assessing the impact of a municipal cash transfer program on a mayoral election. Specifically, it investigates whether Renda Mínima, the cash transfer program of the city of Sao Paulo, affected beneficiaries' electoral behavior in favor of the incumbent candidate in the 2004 mayoral election. This note analyzes survey data from CEBRAP/IBOPE and shows that cash transfers did, indeed, affect beneficiaries behavior in the predicted direction, but only in cases where they did not benefit from any other CCT program, such as the federal Bolsa Família or the São Paulo state Renda Cidadã. These results suggest that the pro-incumbent effect of CCT programs may be diluted by similar programs launched by governments at other tiers of a federation, even if they are led by the same party.
author2 Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
format Artigo
author Corrêa, Diego Sanches
title Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
title_short Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
title_full Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
title_fullStr Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
title_full_unstemmed Cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of Sao Paulos Renda Mínima
title_sort cash transfers and mayoral elections : the case of sao paulos renda mínima
publishDate 2018
url http://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/xmlui/handle/bdtse/4259
_version_ 1806195490629353472
score 12,572395