Estimating the sources of bias : a predictive model to analyze polling performance for the Congressional race in Mexico

It proposes a Montecarlo simulation analysis to estimate the sources of bias in the main national surveys for the Congressional Race in Mexico from 1997 to 2012. According to similar approaches for other electoral systems, the main sources of error analyzed were the pollster bias. The results of suc...

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Main Author: Torhton Granados, Miguel Angel
Other Authors: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Format: Artigo
Language: English
Published: 2020
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